The Coastal Salinity Index (CSI) was developed to characterize coastal drought, monitor changing salinity conditions, and improve understanding of the effects of changing salinities on fresh and saltwater ecosystems, fish habitat, and freshwater availability for municipal and industrial use.

Coastal drought is unique in its effects on the salinity dynamics of creeks, rivers, and estuaries. The location of the freshwater-saltwater interface within coastal water bodies regulates the ecological and socioeconomic dynamics of coastal communities. Commonly used drought indices characterize hydrological, agricultural, and meteorological conditions; however they do not incorporate salinity, a key stressor associated with coastal drought. Salinity is a critical variable for measuring drought response that integrates hydrologic and coastal dynamics including sea level, tides, winds, precipitation, streamflow, and tropical storms.

The motivation for a coastal drought index came from the National Integrated Drought Information System (NIDIS) Drought Early Warning System (DEWS) for coastal North Carolina and South Carolina. The recommendation for an indicator that would be appropriate for assessing and characterizing drought conditions in coastal areas came out of the initial Coastal Carolinas DEWS Scoping Workshop in 2012. The Coastal Carolina DEWS activities focused on improving the understanding of drought effects on coastal environmental resources and developing information to enhance drought monitoring and planning processes. In 2020, the Coastal Carolinas DEWS was was incorporated into a new NIDIS— Southeast DEWS. The expanded DEWS will facilitate information sharing across a broader geography and enhance collaborations among federal, regional, state, and local agencies working in the region.

For more information on the need for an index of coastal drought see: Needs Assessment of Coastal Land Managers for Drought Onset Indicators in the Southeastern United States.

Conrads and Darby (2017) developed the CSI using an approach similar to the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI), a readily available drought index that is widely used for monitoring meteorological droughts (McKee and others, 1993). The CSI substitutes total monthly precipitation with monthly mean salinity data to determine the probability of recording a given salinity value in a particular month. For the CSI, monthly mean salinity data are fit to a gamma distribution and then normalized (mean of zero and standard deviation of one). The index values are standard deviations from the normalized mean values. To align the CSI values with the same classification scheme as the U.S. Drought Monitor, the CSI values were multiplied by -1 so that negative numbers represent drought conditions.

An index value of zero indicates historical mean salinity; negative and positive values represent increasingly saline and fresh conditions, respectively. Typical SPI threshold values were adopted for the coastal drought classifications. The thresholds characterize the historical range of measured salinity data at the site and provide an indication of the severity of the saline (or freshwater) conditions over the interval for which the CSI was computed. As with the SPI, the CSI can be computed for various time intervals, allowing the CSI to be used to evaluate and compare short- and long-term drought (saline) and wet (freshwater) conditions.

Currently, the CSI is calculated at time intervals of one month or longer. The CSI depicts the response to monthly (and longer) precipitation and streamflow conditions rather than hourly to daily salinity fluctuations. To view salinity and temperature data at shorter time intervals, visi the Additional Data page.

CSIs were calculated for coastal gages that are operated by the U.S. Geological Survey, National Estuarine Research Reserve System, or U.S. National Park Service that had a continuous record of real-time mean salinity data for at least approximately 18 years. CSIs can be calculated for other datasets or different intervals by utilizing the CSI R package, available on GitLab.

References:

Conrads, P.A. and L.S. Darby, 2017, Development of a Coastal Drought Index Using Salinity Data. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 98, 753–766, https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-15-00171.1.

McKee, T. B., Doesken, N.J., and Kleist, J., 1993, The relationship of drought frequency and duration to time scales. Preprints, Eighth Conference on Applied Climatology, Anaheim, CA, American Meteorological Society, p. 179–184.

The CSI is a standardized probability index. A value of zero indicates historical mean salinity, and positive and negative values represent increasingly fresh and saline conditions, respectively. The CSI uses the same classification scheme as the U.S. Drought Monitor for high saline, or drought, conditions.

Coastal Salinity Classification Description CSI Values Icon Cumulative Percentage
CD4 Exceptional salinity conditions -2.00 or less 2
CD3 Extreme salinity conditions -1.99 to -1.60 5
CD2 Severe salinity conditions -1.59 to -1.30 10
CD1 Moderate salinity conditions -1.29 to -0.80 20
CD0 Abnormal salinity conditions -0.79 to -0.50 30
Normal Normal salinity conditions -0.49 to 0.50 70
CW0 Abnormal freshwater conditions 0.51 to 0.80 80
CW1 Moderate freshwater conditions 0.81 to 1.30 90
CW2 Severe freshwater conditions 1.31 to 1.60 95
CW3 Extreme freshwater conditions 1.61 to 2.00 98
CW4 Exceptional freshwater conditions 2.01 or more 100
Not Available Missing Data

CSI stacked graphs allow the user to evaluate short (1-month) to long (24-month) conditions in one graph.

Click the image to view a larger version.

Instruction diagram: How to Read a Stacked Graph

Real-time data are preliminary or provisional and are subject to revision. They are being provided to meet the need for timely best science. The data have not received final approval by the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) and are provided on the condition that neither the USGS nor the U.S. Government shall be held liable for any damages resulting from the authorized or unauthorized use of the data.

Website content does not necessarily reflect the views and policies of the National Estuarine Research Reserve System (NERRS) or the U.S. National Park Service (NPS).

Questions concerning the CSI? Know of additional datasets that should be considered? Contact Matt Petkewich at mdpetkew@usgs.gov.
Questions about the CSI R package? Contact Bryan McCloskey at bmccloskey@contractor.usgs.gov.
Questions or problems with the web pages? Contact the development team at gs-w-sawsc_webmaster@usgs.gov.